Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

SEA

52%

CIN

48%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–17

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CIN
• Scoring−0.3 SEA
• Passing defense+0.2 CIN
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CIN