Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

TEN

57%

IND

43%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–23

Winner IND. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.9 TEN
• Home field+0.6 IND
• Rushing defense−0.4 TEN
• QB completion %+0.2 IND