New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots

Before kickoff

NO

39%

NE

61%

Predicted winner

NE

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–0

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NE
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 NE
• Rushing defense+0.1 NE
• Passing defense−0.1 NO