Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

BAL

75%

PIT

25%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–17

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.3 BAL
• Rushing defense−0.3 BAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 BAL