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2023 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

CIN
56%
TEN
44%
Predicted winner
CIN
Confidence
47%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

327

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 TEN
  • Rushing defense+0.4 TEN
  • Scoring−0.3 CIN
  • Passing defense−0.3 CIN