Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

BAL

43%

CLE

57%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–3

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Passing defense+0.3 CLE
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 BAL
• Passing offense−0.1 BAL