New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

NYG

18%

SF

82%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–30

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SF
• Rushing defense+0.6 SF
• Scoring+0.5 SF
• Scoring differential+0.4 SF