Los Angeles Chargers at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

LAC

42%

MIN

58%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–24

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Turnovers+0.2 MIN
• Interception rate−0.1 LAC
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 MIN