New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

NYG

54%

ARI

46%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

36%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–28

Winner NYG. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 NYG
• Home field+0.6 ARI
• Rushing defense+0.2 ARI
• QB completion %+0.2 ARI