Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CLE

66%

PIT

34%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–26

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.3 CLE
• Passing defense−0.2 CLE
• Scoring differential−0.2 CLE