Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CIN

61%

CLE

39%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

34%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–24

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Scoring−0.3 CIN
• Rushing defense−0.2 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN