Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

MIN

56%

CHI

44%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–13

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.6 CHI
• Passing defense+0.4 CHI
• Home field+0.4 CHI
• Scoring−0.3 MIN