New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

NO

39%

PHI

61%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–10

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 NO
• Scoring+0.5 PHI
• Home field+0.4 PHI
• Interception rate+0.2 PHI