Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

CLE

54%

WAS

46%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–10

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 WAS
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 CLE
• Rushing defense+0.2 WAS
• Scoring−0.1 CLE