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2022 · Week 16 · v0.2 · regular season

Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

SEA
30%
KC
70%
Predicted winner
KC
Confidence
70%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1024

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Rushing defense+0.4 KC
  • Home field+0.4 KC
  • Passing offense−0.3 SEA
  • Scoring+0.3 KC