Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

PHI

55%

DAL

45%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–40

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 DAL
• Interception rate−0.3 PHI
• Rushing defense−0.1 PHI
• Passing defense−0.1 PHI