New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

NO

55%

CLE

45%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–10

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 NO
• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 NO
• Interception rate+0.1 CLE