Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

HOU

16%

TEN

84%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–14

Winner HOU. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.8 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.6 TEN
• Home field+0.4 TEN
• Passing defense−0.3 HOU