Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

BUF

73%

CHI

27%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–13

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.5 CHI
• Scoring−0.4 BUF
• Home field+0.4 CHI
• Rushing defense−0.3 BUF