Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

PIT

34%

CAR

66%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–16

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 CAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 CAR
• Passing offense+0.2 CAR
• Passing defense+0.2 CAR