New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

NYG

40%

WAS

60%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–12

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 WAS
• Rushing defense+0.4 WAS
• Interception rate−0.1 NYG
• Passing offense−0.1 NYG