Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

IND

39%

MIN

61%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–39

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.5 IND
• Home field+0.4 MIN
• Scoring+0.3 MIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 MIN