Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

BAL

51%

CLE

49%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–13

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.4 BAL
• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Passing defense+0.3 CLE
• Points allowed+0.1 CLE