Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

MIA

36%

DET

64%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–27

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.6 DET
• Rushing defense−0.5 MIA
• Home field+0.4 DET
• Points allowed+0.2 DET