Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

TB

81%

CAR

19%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

71%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–21

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.8 TB
• Passing offense+0.5 CAR
• Home field+0.4 CAR
• Interception rate−0.4 TB