Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

DEN

36%

LAC

64%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–19

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.5 LAC
• Home field+0.4 LAC
• Points allowed+0.3 LAC
• Passing offense−0.3 DEN