Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants

Before kickoff

BAL

56%

NYG

44%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–24

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.5 NYG
• Scoring−0.4 BAL
• Home field+0.4 NYG
• Rushing defense−0.3 BAL