New York Jets at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

NYJ

22%

CLE

78%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–30

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Scoring+0.3 CLE
• Passing defense+0.3 CLE
• Rushing defense+0.3 CLE