Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

PIT

33%

CIN

67%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

38%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–20

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.4 CIN
• Scoring+0.4 CIN
• Home field+0.4 CIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 CIN