Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

CLE

47%

CAR

53%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–24

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 CAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 CAR
• Scoring−0.1 CLE
• Interception rate−0.1 CLE