San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

SF

33%

LAR

67%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner SF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 LAR
• Passing defense−0.2 SF
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 LAR