Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

GB

86%

DET

14%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

82%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–37

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DET
• Scoring−0.6 GB
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 GB
• Points allowed+0.4 DET