Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DAL

46%

PHI

54%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

51–26

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 PHI
• Passing offense+0.4 PHI
• Scoring−0.3 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 DAL