Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

ARI

44%

DAL

56%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–22

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• Passing defense−0.2 ARI
• Scoring+0.2 DAL
• Turnovers−0.1 ARI