Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

PHI

61%

DET

39%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

44–6

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DET
• Passing defense−0.4 PHI
• Points allowed+0.2 DET
• Scoring−0.1 PHI