Carolina Panthers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

CAR

73%

NYG

27%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–25

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NYG
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 CAR
• Passing defense−0.4 CAR
• Scoring−0.3 CAR