Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

MIA

70%

JAX

30%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–23

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Points allowed+0.2 JAX
• Interception rate−0.2 MIA
• Turnovers−0.2 MIA
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 JAX