Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

BUF

69%

TEN

31%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–34

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 TEN
• Passing defense−0.7 BUF
• Points allowed+0.5 TEN
• Scoring−0.3 BUF