Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

TB

57%

LAR

43%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–34

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAR
• Passing defense+0.7 LAR
• Scoring−0.5 TB
• Offensive touchdowns−0.4 TB