Minnesota Vikings at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

MIN

31%

ARI

69%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

47%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–34

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 ARI
• Points allowed−0.5 MIN
• Rushing defense+0.3 ARI
• Passing defense+0.2 ARI