Los Angeles Rams at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

LAR

57%

IND

43%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

39%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–24

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 IND
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 LAR
• Passing defense−0.4 LAR
• Points allowed+0.3 IND