Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

PHI

38%

ATL

62%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

35%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–6

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 ATL
• Passing defense−0.5 PHI
• Passing offense−0.3 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.3 ATL