Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

MIN

64%

CIN

36%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

36%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CIN
• Scoring−0.5 MIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 MIN
• Passing defense+0.2 CIN