Denver Broncos at New York Giants

Before kickoff

DEN

40%

NYG

60%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

33%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–13

Winner DEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NYG
• Points allowed−0.3 DEN
• Rushing defense+0.3 NYG
• Turnovers+0.2 NYG