Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

CHI

37%

LAR

63%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

35%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–34

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAR
• Passing defense+0.3 LAR
• Rushing defense+0.3 LAR
• Points allowed−0.3 CHI