Baltimore Ravens at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

BAL

69%

LV

31%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

39%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–33

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LV
• Points allowed+0.6 LV
• Passing offense−0.5 BAL
• Passing defense−0.3 BAL