Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

ARI

23%

TEN

77%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–13

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 TEN
• Passing defense−0.4 ARI
• Scoring+0.3 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 TEN