Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Before kickoff

DAL

57%

NYG

43%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–23

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.7 NYG
• Scoring−0.7 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 DAL
• Home field+0.5 NYG