San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

SF

67%

DAL

33%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–41

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.8 SF
• Home field+0.5 DAL
• Points allowed+0.4 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 SF