Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

SEA

62%

WAS

38%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–15

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+1.0 WAS
• Scoring−0.8 SEA
• QB yards/attempt−0.7 SEA
• Home field+0.5 WAS